Friday, 21 August 2026 · Full edition

UK Met Office warns unprecedented El Niño could make 2027 hottest year on record

A drought-stricken paddock with parched earth.
A drought-stricken paddock with parched earth. · Plant Industry, CSIRO / Wikimedia CommonsCC BY 3.0

What happened

According to the UK Met Office, a growing El Niño weather pattern is developing into an unprecedented event. The meteorological agency states that the weather system is set to become the strongest in living memory, making 2027 likely to be the world's hottest year on record as global temperatures rise.

Why it matters

Record global temperatures driven by a severe El Niño pattern imply heightened operational risks from extreme weather, potential volatility in agricultural supply chains, and increased load on energy grids worldwide. Businesses face growing climate-related disruption across transport networks, commodity production, and physical infrastructure as global heat records are broken.

Bigger picture

The Met Office assessment underscores the ongoing challenge of managing major short-term climate drivers alongside long-term global warming trends. Unprecedented weather cycles complicate long-term risk planning and ESG forecasting for global corporations, insurers, and policymakers attempting to adapt to accelerating temperature increases.

Watch next

Watch for formal data publications from the Met Office, follow-up climate assessments from global meteorological organizations, and updated seasonal forecasting models.

Original source
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